Here is a quick snapshot of common opponents (UGA, UT, Miss, & TAM – I threw out Ark St)
Based on the above, Mizzou’s avg scoring/game is 31 pts and Auburn’s defense is allowing an avg of 31 pts/game That’s problematic… So based on common opponents, Mizzou will score 31 pts in the SEC CG.
Auburn’s offense is averaging 43 pts/game, however Mizzou’s defense only allowed 15 pts/game. Not sure statistically how to resolve those numbers but if you subtract 15 from 43, that leaves you with 28 pts for Auburn.
Mizzou 31 – Auburn 28
Again, it’s just common opponent and math but looking at these numbers, Mizzou’s defense is really good – twice as good as our defense. We have better offensive production but will it be enough to swing the game to our favor?
Let’s hope special teams play a big factor in Atlanta.