Looking At Our Chances
In a post by WDE1988 titled The Polls Are In!!! We looked into the current college football rankings. That brought to mind the thought of what might need to happen for Auburn to have any shot at the BCS Championship game.
Here is the way I see it, for what that’s worth…
Of the eight undefeated teams ahead of us right now, we only play two of them (possibly) “if” we win out.
Ohio State will win out, they have too soft a schedule to think that anyone left on it will challenge them. We can hope, but that’s about all. I said this last year near the end of the season, worth repeating that Ohio State gets the media love because the media is tired of the SEC being the big dog. Add to the fact that Urban Meyer has won a BCS title while coaching in the SEC. Little will be mentioned about that skirt and tacky nails schedule that the Buckeyes play. I don’t even care if anyone in the B1G gets mad at me for that, they play a lousy brand of football, PERIOD!
FSU can win out, but they actually have a tougher schedule than OSU. If the ‘Noles were to win out, they would deserve a shot at the title. FSU and Miami play each other, maybe twice if they meet again in the ACC Championship game, and that should do away with at least one of them.
Same for Oregon. The PAC-12 is better than any other conference outside of the SEC. Oregon State is clearly better, and Stanford will usually play the Ducks a tough game.
As far as the SEC goes, if bama and Mizzou win out, one will lose in the SEC Championship game. Auburn winning out would mean the BCS Sugar Bowl, and trust me, that would be reaching incredible heights after the last two seasons. A BCS Championship appearance would take monumental disasters by several teams for a one-loss AU to make the Championship game. We just don’t have the luck of bama to have that many teams implode and make way for AU to step in.
That leaves the Baylor Bears, and the Texas Tech Red Raiders. Sorry to disappoint any of those fans, you could win out, and unless every team ahead of you loses, you will not get the consideration for the BCS title game.
The Big 12 this season is almost as bad as the B1G, not something to brag about I assure you. The problem for these two teams is that they are now getting into the toughest part of their collective schedules, just as most conferences are doing. Tech could lose to another conference team, and then win the game vs. Baylor which would effectively eliminate both teams. Or vice-verse.
Not an impossibility, but I don’t like our chances right now. Until next time,